Wednesday, July 29, 2009

Hayes Commercial Publishes Commercial Property 2nd Quarter Review

Hayes Commercial has put out their review of commercial property activity for the first half of the year.

The report includes retail, industrial, and multi-family statistics.

The information about vacancy rates, as well as property sales is interesting to read.

Check it out

Monday, July 27, 2009

Foreclosures! The Next Big Wave, When?

I have been doing my best to track the foreclosures in Santa Barbara County now for a few years and so far I'm not seeing this next big wave everyone seems to be mentioning.

Businessweek published an article that said they could hit this summer.

L A Times also had a recent article about the impending wave.

Maybe I need to be more patient and let this play out. There is another interesting article by the New York Times with a little different slant on things.

They mention that banks are not wanting to foreclose on properties these days for one big reason. Many lenders have a troubled balance sheet and to take possession of more foreclosed properties only makes the books worse.

The article makes it sound as though more lenders are willing to try and work something out with the troubled borrower than they would be before all these foreclosures happened.

So what does that mean to us in Santa Barbara County? Last year around this time we had just seen the highest number of Notices of Defaults, Notices of Trustees Sales, and Trustees Deeds recorded in the history of Santa Barbara County.

This year we have seen the number of Notices of Default hit an all time high in March. A curious thing has been happening though. The number of Notices of Trustees Sale, and Trustees Deeds are down significantly from last year. Could the New York Times article be right?

One other explanation is that the lenders are just not processing these properties as fast as they should in an effort to keep the books looking as healthy as possible.

Do I still need to be more patient or is it possible that some of the lenders are working harder to keep people in their properties? Time will tell.

I would love to hear what you are experiencing.

Tuesday, July 21, 2009

Wow! Homes Sales Rise In June.

When we have been seeing the number of properties sell in the South Coast hover around or under 100 monthly, 157 is a big increase. The chart reflects 158, but CORT reported a duplicate that I have removed.

That is the highest number of properties selling since August of 2007 when there were 160. It is also well above the highest number of sales in a given month for all of last year of 131.

The area that saw the highest number of sales was Santa Barbara with 77. Goleta had 46, Carpinteria and Montecito both had 15, Hope Ranch had 2, Summerland 1, and Unincorporated Area had 1.

Median prices for the communities of Goleta, Carpinteria, and Santa Barbara continue to be affordable based on years past. Santa Barbara's median price was $715,000. Goleta's was $635,000, and Carpinteria's was $555,000.

Having a 49% jump in the number of sales from May to June was a bit of a surprise, although the activity has been better in recent months. It would appear there was some pent up demand as well as buyers finding the deals they are looking for.

I would like to think the number of sales will continue to stay around 150, but a small increase in rates and the summer holidays may throw a bit of cold water on the activity.

Let me know your thoughts.

Friday, July 17, 2009

Radius Group Posts It's Commercial Real Estate Report

Radius Group Commercial Real Estate is pleased to provide the RADIUS GROUP SOUTH COAST 2nd Quarter 2009 REVIEW for the commercial markets of Santa Barbara, Goleta and Carpinteria. Included in the report are the largest leased properties and largest vacancies in each city during the 2nd Quarter 2009.

The following is a summary of Vacancy Rates from April 2009 to June 2009.

Santa Barbara

Office Vacancy increased from 5.7% to 6.7%.

Industrial Vacancy decreased slightly from 1.0% to 0.9%.

Retail Vacancy increased slightly from 2.3% to 2.7%.


Office Vacancy decreased from 12.9% to 11.6%.

Industrial Vacancy increased from 6.1% to 7.6%.


Office Vacancy increased from 4.5% to 5.3%.

Industrial Vacancy increased from 6.2% to 7.3%

View the complete report

Monday, July 13, 2009

Avoid the Top 10 Mistakes Sellers Make

There are plenty of quick reference sites that do the best they can to help give good advice on real estate related topics. One of the more talked about topics is pitfalls sellers make. Below is a very easy to understand short video on the subject. Thanks TechKnowBabble!

TechKnowBabble: Avoid the Top 10 Mistakes Sellers Make

Wednesday, July 1, 2009

Santa Barbara Foreclosures For June

Before I get in to my comments about foreclosures in Santa Barbara, I would like to say we were pretty busy folks in June. Closing a number of sales as well as processing quite a few refinance escrows. Many of the people I speak with seem to have a little better outlook on real estate in our fair county.

Enough of my observations for now!

As you all are probably aware of by now the foreclosure process starts with the recordation of the notice of default. In Santa Barbara County we have been experiencing a record number of them being recorded. Our all time high was 414 in February and since then we have fallen off of that a bit, and June was 332. It would appear to me that we are going to bounce around the 300 number for a while.

If you want to watch this number day by day you can do so at the county website, which updates their information between 4 and 5 each day. Got that straight from the webmaster.

The next step in the process is the recording of the notice of trustee sale. June was 232 which is down a bit from the high of May, 273. No big surprises there since the NOD's reached 414 about 90 days ago. That is about the time frame you might expect the notice of sale to appear.

The last step in the process is when the bank takes back these properties, and that is when the Trustee's Deed gets recorded. June was at 145 which isn't even close to the highs of July, August, and September of last year.

All in all, it appears to be kinda the same ole same ole when it comes to how many foreclosures are showing up. The only thing that I'm not sure of is if these numbers are being affected by some of the loan modification programs that are in place. It would appear that a smaller percentage of properties are going back to the banks, but I will be more comfortable saying that with a few more months of numbers.

Enjoy your July 4th Weekend!